KAAR

Knoxville Home Sales Report: February 2019

KAAR Months of Supply.png
KAAR Active Listings.png
KAAR Closed Units.png

DEEP THOUGHTS:

2019 is definitely still a seller’s market so far. How long will it last? Let’s break it down:

1. Inventory is still super low and the good houses and deals are going super fast.
2. Closings are still in line with 2018 and 2009, meaning they are very strong.
3. Active listings were flat, but still very historically low.
4. Prices are WAY up. How up? In 2018, the average price of a 2 BR or smaller home was 124,770 and in 2019 the average price was 141,254 . Wowza!
5. I repeat: interest rates are holding steady and down payment assistance programs are still available.
6. The sun is finally out and and so are the buyers. Sellers, start your listing engines!

 *All information provided by KAAR (Knoxville Area Association of Realtors) and is for the greater Knoxville area including Knox County and surrounding counties. My opinions are just that: opinions. I'm not really an expert in anything, but I do like to write about real estate. 

Knoxville Home Sales Report: June 2018

KAAR Months of Supply.png
KAAR Active Listings.png
KAAR Closed Units.png

DEEP THOUGHTS:

It's been a minute since June, and we've all felt the market cool a bit. However, June was hotter than July (possibly). 

1. Inventory was still historically low, if flat month over month. 
2. Closings were still historically high, if flat month over month. 
3. Prices were WAY up in June. The average price for a 3 BR home went from about $173,000 to $199,000 year over year. 
4. So far closings have closely tracked just above 2017. It will be interesting to see if we have that somewhat seasonal July dip and that HUGE August jump this year as well.

 *All information provided by KAAR (Knoxville Area Association of Realtors) and is for the greater Knoxville area including Knox County and surrounding counties. My opinions are just that: opinions. I'm not really an expert in anything, but I do like to write about real estate. 

Knoxville Home Sales Report: April 2018

chart (10).png
chart (11).png
chart (12).png

Deep Thoughts

  • Is this a seller's market or the new normal? I'm seriously starting to wonder. 
  • Inventory continues to be issue number 1. Only homes with major condition or location issues are not going into multiple offer as soon as they hit the market. 
  • Rates are remaining steady under 5%, meaning it is most likely still cheaper to buy than rent (if you can find a house to buy(. 
  • Prices are up across the board again, which is no surprise with buyers competing over almost every single listing.   
  • Appraisals are still not a lot of fun and are causing agents and sellers to practice holding their breath. 
  • Again, I say, is this the new normal? With more and more people moving to Knoxville and with our attractions and infrastructure growing, we may be getting some big city real estate problems. 

 *All information provided by KAAR (Knoxville Area Association of Realtors) and is for the greater Knoxville area including Knox County and surrounding counties. My opinions are just that: opinions. I'm not really an expert in anything, but I do like to write about real estate. 

Knoxville Home Sales Report: January 2018

chart.png
chart (1).png
chart (2).png
These are average home sales prices from January 2017 over January 2018

These are average home sales prices from January 2017 over January 2018

Deep Thoughts

  • 2018 is starting off as a steady seller's market, but nothing is jumping off the charts just yet.   
  • Inventory was the story in 2017, but pricing may become the story of 2018, with the average sales price of a 3 BR home up 
  • Rates are rising slightly, but not alarmingly. Clam down. 
  • Multiple offers, backup offers, crazy offers: it's still the wild west out there, folks. 
  • Sellers still seem hesitant to jump in on this bizness, but I'm hoping that will change in the coming month, as Spring Selling Season is almost upon us. 
  • This is the first year in a while that I have ABSOLUTELY NO IDEA what to expect. Just stay tuned and let's enjoy the ride together, yes? Yes. 

 *All information provided by KAAR (Knoxville Area Association of Realtors). My opinions are just that: opinions. I'm not really an expert in anything, but I do like to write about real estate. 

Knoxville Home Sales Report: July & August 2017

Knoxville Home Sales Report: July & August 2017

I literally can't even, you guys. First, it's almost August and it's 90 degrees outside (more or less). Second, these home sales numbers from the Knoxville Area Association of Realtors are INSANE IN THE MEMBRANE. Yes, they literally make me feel as though I do not, in fact, I have a brain. They are that hard to fathom. Don't believe me? Check the charts:

Read More

Knoxville Home Sales Report: Janurary 2017

Knoxville Home Sales Report: Janurary 2017

Nothing cooled down this winter, including the Greater Knoxville Area real estate market. The year ended on a great note in December, but let's take a look at how we're starting off 2017! Please to enjoy the following beautiful charts with data from the Knoxville Area Association of Realtors (nom de plume, KAAR). To the charts!

Read More

Knoxville Home Sales Report: September, October, & November 2016

Knoxville Home Sales Report: September, October, & November 2016

Hey, girl, hey! Hey. Yeah, so... I'm a little behind on this here home sales stuff. And yeah, I'm kind of embarrassed about it. But the good news is this: I'm gonna catch you up in a jiffy! First let's take a look at the charts (with info courtesy of the Knoxville Area Association of Realtors, secret service code name, "KAAR." Ready? Set. Go!

Read More

Knoxville Home Sales Report: June 2016

Knoxville Home Sales Report: June 2016

It's almost time to go back to school, but that doesn't mean that I'm finished schooling you on the Summer Selling Season. We're almost through July, so that means the June numbers are out, and they are HOT. How hot? Well, join me as we explore the Knoxville Home Sales Report numbers from the Knoxville Area Association of Realtors (aka KAAR), won't you?

Read More

Knoxville Home Sales Report: April and May 2016

Knoxville Home Sales Report: April and May 2016

Whew, lawd! I'm not entirely sure what happened to the last two months, because all I've been doing is slingin' houses down in the real estate mine. And let me tell you, that mine is drying up, folks (can a mine dry up, I'm going to say yes). So to get caught up, let's cut the jibber jabber and take a jaunt through the April & May home sales numbers from the Knoxville Area Association of Realtors (miner nickname, KAAR). To the charts!

Read More

Knoxville Home Sales Report: January 2016

Knoxville Home Sales Report: January 2016

Hellooooo, 2016! My, you're looking fine! Inventory's low, sales are....well, you need to take a look a these charts for yourself and then read the breakdown of the Knoxville Area Association of Realtors (the artist formerly known as KAAR) January 2016 sales numbers for the greater Knoxville area.  Go!

Read More

Knoxville Home Sales Report: April 2015

Knoxville Home Sales Report: April 2015

Had you guys given up hope that I would ever post the April Home Sales numbers? Well, don't stop believin', you guys, because I would never let us go our separate ways without dropping this science from the Knoxville Agent Association of Realtors (album name, KAAR) April Home Sales numbers into your open arms! Let's go on a real estate "journey" of sorts," shall we?

Read More

Knoxville Home Sales Report: March 2015

Hey, May! How you doin'? You sure are looking and feeling pretty good. And as much as I hate to think back on colder, less flowery months, it's time to take a look back at the month that was March. What for, you ask? Why to check out the March 2015 Home Sales Report numbers from the Knoxville Area Association of Realtors (chemical element symbol, KAAR). Let's spring right into it (see what I did there)!

Wasn't nothin' lower than months of supply in March, y'all. Take a look at that royal blue dotted line that's taking a nose dive all the way down to March 2006 home inventory levels.  That's right, our months of supply (or the number of months it would take all current homes on the market to sell at the current rate of sales) is now down below 8 months. BELOW EIGHT MONTHS. That's the lowest it's been in pretty much forever, or at least in about 9 years. Stay tuned to the wrap up to see how this is affecting the market, because it is DEFINITELY affecting the market. 

This chart shows active listings, and while they are still also at a nine year low, they were up in March over February, probably as a seasonal adjustment. It was the start of Spring Selling Season, after all. But wait... if months of supply is DOWN and active listings were UP.... that much mean....

It's a bird! It's a plane! Wait...is that...IT'S THE MARCH CLOSED SALES GOING THROUGH THE ROOF! Holy macaroni, you guys, talk about starting the Spring Selling Season off right! Sales in March 2015 were the highest they've been since 2007, AKA Ye Goode Olde Dayes. And that's the biggest March jump we've seen since 2006, AKA The Really Goode Olde Dayes. So how are all these sales affecting the market? I'll give you one guess and it's starts with a "P" (not pork chops, although they are delicious). Keep reading on down to the break down for the answer. 

What's Hot

  • Inventory - Greater Knoxville area housing supply is now officially the lowest we've seen in it 9 years. 
  • Pricing - Here's your big "P." Average and median sales were up all the way across the board in March. I belive the fancy explanation for this is "supply and demand." 
  • SALES! - Sales continue to be up year over year and month over month. With the activity I'm seeing in the market, I'm not thinking this is a one month thing, either. 
  • Rates - They're still below 4% and that's what's driving a lot of the above (sales). 
  • http://drunkjcrew.tumblr.com/ - Seriously, it's so funny. 

What's Not

  • Listings - The good homes are selling about as fast as they're going on the market, ususally with multiple offers. 
  • Rentals - Everybody's trying to find a good rental (because there aren't any). 
  • Fence Sitting Buyers - Ain't nobody got time for that this spring. 
  • Movie Franchise Reboots - I'm looking at you, Mad Max #overit

Deep Thoughts

  • You guys, this is a HOT market: prices are still good, rates are still low, and lenders are making it easier to borrow. Now if we just had more homes to sell...
  •  Sellers, are you thinking about selling your house? May I suggest right around NOW to be a good time?The tipping point into a Seller's market could easily come sometime this summer. COULD. 
  • Investors, why not take advantage of low rates to build a rental inventory? Renters need places to rent. I'm just sayin'. 
  • Agents, enjoy this market while it lasts. Trust me: I lived through 2008-2012.

All information provided by KAAR (Knoxville Area Association of Realtors). My opnions are just that: opinions. I'm not really an expert in anything, but I do like to write about real estate. 

Knoxville Home Sales Report: 2014 Year End Wrap Up

Here are a couple of charts to wrap up the year that was 2014.  As fun as it is to track sales and pricing on a monthly basis, I think it's also good to pull back a little bit and get the big picture at the end of long, hard year. And even though sales were sometimes down year over year (and month over month) in 2014, you can see by this first chart that still made some nice progress in closed units in 2014. Please to enjoy:

 

And just so y'all know I'm not talking out of my nether regions when I blog about these numbers, here was my prediction about sales in 2014 (AHEM):

Well, I see it as a recovery/leveling off year. We’ve already had ... the start of a good recovery (rising sales, rising prices). Sales may rise a little more, but we can only go so high before we hit bubble territory again, so leveling out will not be a bad thing this year in terms of units sold.

So..yeah. BOO YAH. 

This next chart shows the yearly average price of a 3 bedroom home:

 

As you can see, we had another significant rise in average sales price for 3 BR homes in 2014, almost leveling off with 2009, which is not a bad, slightly pre-bubble, not top of the bubble place to be. So, this chart is something to be happly about. And what did I say about pricing in the 2013 wrap up? I can remember....Wait! I've got it:

Prices still have some correcting to do, and I expect (or hope) for that to contine in 2014. But again, we don’t want prices to get so high that we create more bubble-like conditions.

BOOM. And I stand by the fact that we still don't want prices to get too high (as much as sellers would love that). What we want, is to get back to a nice, heathly, even market. And I think we're just about there. Seriously. 

So what are my predictions for 2015?  I see it being a leveling off year on almost all levels. Sales have corrected. Inventory has corrected. Pricing has (mostly) corrected. However, interest rates are still VERY low, which is going to make for an interesting Spring Selling Season with such low housing inventory. I would say expect 2015 to be solidly boring in its minor corrections, but as we know, real estate is NEVER boring :-)

See you in the future! I hope I'm wearing my jet pack. 

All data taken from Knoxville Association of Realtors (KAAR).